Twitter Gives Us Its Best #MarchMadness Bracket Predictions
By
Marcus Kaulback

When the calendar turns to March, thoughts turn to spring (at least for those of us north of the Equator – I’m not sure what Australians think about), St. Paddy’s Day, and even chocolate eggs.

And for some of us, our thoughts also turn to college basketball.

Every year, the NCAA puts on its national college basketball tournament known as #MarchMadness. And every year, people bet on it. A lot.

According to the American Gaming Association, this year’s tournament will see approximately $9 billion wagered and 70 million brackets filled out. That second number is especially staggering, as it’s higher than the total number of ballots cast for President Obama (66 million) in the 2012 election. (Incidentally, the President fills out his own bracket every year, in a tradition that has come to be known as Barack-etology.)

MediaMiser recently analyzed around 13,000 tweets referencing both “March Madness” and “bracket”, in an attempt to divine who you, the people, would like to see win it all.

Not surprisingly, the vast majority of team mentions were for top seeded Kentucky (the far-and-away favorite to win it all this year), with around 50-per-cent of the share of voice. And of all the tweets for Kentucky, professional golfer Rickie Fowler’s (@RickieFowlerPGA) had the greatest reach at around 880,000:

image1

Of the eight top ranked teams mentioned in tweets, Duke came closest to Kentucky in terms of mentions with a 17-per-cent share of voice. It’s a strong show of support for the North Carolina school that won it all in 2010, as no other team received more than 100 mentions.

Wisconsin finished with a 9-per-cent share of voice, followed by Arizona and Villanova with 7 and 6-per-cent, respectively (see chart).

image2

Interestingly, Facebook analyzed its own data and found similar trends: from February 15th to March 14th, Kentucky and Duke came 1 and 2 in terms of number of posts and comments. But basketball isn’t the only thing getting its own brackets this month. On March 15th, the NHL caused a bit of a stir by posting a bracket of its own:

image3

It was retweeted around 800 times over our two days of monitoring, most notably by George Stroumboulopoulos, who sent it out to his 658,401 followers. That’s some fine marketing work from the National Hockey League.

Delicious food and craft beer also got in on the act:

image4

image5

Sports partisanship can be a nasty business, but no matter who you’re cheering for — or if you’re cheering at all — it’s certainly the case that March Madness gets people talking.Bottom of Form


Marcus Kaulback is a media analyst and report writer with MediaMiser. He writes on many things, but sports is a passion. See a sample of his work at marcuskaulback.tumblr.com